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- Trend snippet: Trafficking of drugs during the COVID-19 pandemic has slowed down
Trends in Security Information
The HSD Trendmonitor is designed to provide access to relevant content on various subjects in the safety and security domain, to identify relevant developments and to connect knowledge and organisations. The safety and security domain encompasses a vast number of subjects. Four relevant taxonomies (type of threat or opportunity, victim, source of threat and domain of application) have been constructed in order to visualize all of these subjects. The taxonomies and related category descriptions have been carefully composed according to other taxonomies, European and international standards and our own expertise.
In order to identify safety and security related trends, relevant reports and HSD news articles are continuously scanned, analysed and classified by hand according to the four taxonomies. This results in a wide array of observations, which we call ‘Trend Snippets’. Multiple Trend Snippets combined can provide insights into safety and security trends. The size of the circles shows the relative weight of the topic, the filters can be used to further select the most relevant content for you. If you have an addition, question or remark, drop us a line at info@securitydelta.nl.
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Trafficking of drugs during the COVID-19 pandemic has slowed down
Focusing on specific areas of criminal activity, we expect little mid- to long-term impact on the trade of illegal drugs. Drug markets are resilient and adaptable. The lockdown and subsequent cancellation of many outdoor festivals and similar events that typically feature the consumption of MDMA and similar substances may result in a notable drop in demand for these types of drugs in the mid-term. However, this drop is unlikely to persist and will stabilise again over the long term.
The trafficking of cannabis, cocaine, and heroin has continued throughout the pandemic, albeit at lower levels than before. After the withdrawal of lockdown and quarantine measures across the EU, it is expected that regular supply will resume at pre-pandemic levels with little or no mid- or long-term impact.
While there have been price fluctuations for various types of drugs available on EU drug markets throughout the pandemic due to perceived or actual supply shortages, it is expected that prices will stabilise at pre-pandemic levels once mid-level distributors and consumers have been assured of the stable and reliable supply of drugs.