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- Trend snippet: The COVID-19 crisis has affected criminal justice systems across the world
Trends in Security Information
The HSD Trendmonitor is designed to provide access to relevant content on various subjects in the safety and security domain, to identify relevant developments and to connect knowledge and organisations. The safety and security domain encompasses a vast number of subjects. Four relevant taxonomies (type of threat or opportunity, victim, source of threat and domain of application) have been constructed in order to visualize all of these subjects. The taxonomies and related category descriptions have been carefully composed according to other taxonomies, European and international standards and our own expertise.
In order to identify safety and security related trends, relevant reports and HSD news articles are continuously scanned, analysed and classified by hand according to the four taxonomies. This results in a wide array of observations, which we call ‘Trend Snippets’. Multiple Trend Snippets combined can provide insights into safety and security trends. The size of the circles shows the relative weight of the topic, the filters can be used to further select the most relevant content for you. If you have an addition, question or remark, drop us a line at info@securitydelta.nl.
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The COVID-19 crisis has affected criminal justice systems across the world
The long legacy of COVID-19
COVID-19 will leave a long legacy for criminal justice systems across the world. Despite decreases in many types of crime and the rapid shift to remote court hearings and probation meetings, court backlogs have increased across the world. Community sentences (including mandated community service) have not yet been served. Many countries have pursued significant early
prison release programs, creating a natural experiment regarding the impact of prison sentence lengths on crime. And while some technology projects have been accelerated to ensure continuity in services, many others have been delayed.
The economic and social impacts of the epidemic are still unknown but are almost certain to be profound. The International Monetary Fund tentatively estimates the global economy will shrink five percent in 2020.Given those estimates, the economy at the start of 2022 would be 6.5% smaller than predicted at the start of 2020.
Less growth has meant lower tax revenues. And attempts to minimize the impact of the virus have meant increased government spending. Government debt is rising. And in many countries, governments are now running long-term deficits which will be worsened by the continued pressures to increase health system funding and to support those who have lost jobs.
Socially, many of the interviewees in our global project on the future of justice expressed deep concern about the impacts of the virus continuing over generations – in health, education, employment and beyond. Like virus-related deaths, these impacts have been most extreme for the most vulnerable: the poor and those from minority ethnic backgrounds. Surveys are showing
that these groups are less likely to benefit from structured remote learning, most likely to have lost work, and are experiencing greater stress and anxiety. The impact of these disparities in education and economic opportunity may persist across generations.